JHX · NYSE · STOCK
James Hardie Industries (JHX) Stock Analysis
$25.12
52W $16.46 – $31.43
50/100
$14.58B
99.5
1.03
Is JHX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates James Hardie Industries plc (JHX) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 42.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 100.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -67.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 100.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 42.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -67.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.9 to 50.5.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.012
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$22.02
Resistance
$27.43
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$25.30
Below
EMA 21
$26.10
Below
EMA 50
$26.79
Below
EMA 200
$25.00
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
59
Profitability
17
Financial Health
78
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
99.5×
P/B Ratio
2.23×
PEG Ratio
-1.47
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$31.43
52W Low
$16.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
161.9%
ROA
76.0%
Gross Margin
3588.2%
Operating Margin
1331.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 99.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.6%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 2.7%; Gross margin of 35.9%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> +20.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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