JHX · NYSE · STOCK
James Hardie Industries plc
$31.10
52W $16.46 – $31.15
58/100
$18.04B
123.1
1.03
Is JHX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates James Hardie Industries plc (JHX) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.98 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.02 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- RSI at 84 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 80 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 84 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
83.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.412
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
1.05
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.95
Above
EMA 21
$27.52
Above
EMA 50
$25.77
Above
EMA 200
$23.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Profitability
17
Financial Health
78
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
123.1×
P/B Ratio
2.76×
PEG Ratio
-1.82
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$31.15
52W Low
$16.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
161.9%
ROA
76.0%
Gross Margin
3588.2%
Operating Margin
1331.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 123.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of -1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.6%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 2.7%; Gross margin of 35.9%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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