JHX · NYSE · STOCK
James Hardie Industries (JHX) Stock Analysis
$25.82
52W $16.46 – $31.43
54/100
$14.32B
97.7
1.03
Is JHX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates James Hardie Industries plc (JHX) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.20 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.80 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 98.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 42.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 98.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -67.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 98.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 42.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -67.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.8 to 53.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.008
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$22.02
Resistance
$27.43
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$24.99
Above
EMA 21
$25.74
Above
EMA 50
$26.55
Below
EMA 200
$24.99
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
59
Profitability
17
Financial Health
78
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
97.7×
P/B Ratio
2.19×
PEG Ratio
-1.45
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$31.43
52W Low
$16.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
161.9%
ROA
76.0%
Gross Margin
3588.2%
Operating Margin
1331.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 97.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.6%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 2.7%; Gross margin of 35.9%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> +20.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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