KGC · NYSE · STOCK
Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Analysis
$23.73
52W $22.01 – $39.11
60/100
$28.16B
9.1
1.41
Is KGC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.77 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.23 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 36.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 39.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 112.4% YoY — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 33.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 39.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 33.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.0 to 60.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 31->39 (+8).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.184
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$22.29
Resistance
$27.84
Bollinger %B
0.28
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$24.04
Below
EMA 21
$25.44
Below
EMA 50
$26.60
Below
EMA 200
$27.03
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Growth
58
Profitability
96
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.1×
P/B Ratio
2.93×
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
0.65%
52W High
$39.11
52W Low
$22.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
2840.9%
ROA
1963.1%
Gross Margin
5362.4%
Operating Margin
5005.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.4%; Return on assets of 19.6%; Net margin of 37.6%; Gross margin of 53.6%; Current ratio of 2.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.08; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.59); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+6.0% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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