KGC · NYSE · STOCK
Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Analysis
$30.87
52W $21.61 – $39.11
68/100
$36.63B
11.8
1.41
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is KGC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.93 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.07 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 36.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 39.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 112.4% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 30.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 39.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.09) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 30.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 68.1 to 68.1.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.191
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$26.06
Resistance
$35.56
Bollinger %B
0.59
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.88
Below
EMA 21
$29.73
Above
EMA 50
$28.09
Above
EMA 200
$27.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
58
Profitability
96
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.8×
P/B Ratio
3.82×
PEG Ratio
0.11
Dividend Yield
0.50%
52W High
$39.11
52W Low
$21.61
Quality & Growth
ROE
2840.9%
ROA
1963.1%
Gross Margin
5362.4%
Operating Margin
5005.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.4%; Return on assets of 19.6%; Net margin of 37.6%; Gross margin of 53.6%; Current ratio of 2.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.08; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.59); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+6.0% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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