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Kimco Realty (KIM) Stock Analysis

Real Estate Updated September 17, 2026
$22.58
52W $19.76 – $26.65
54/100
$15.50B
25.8
0.96
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
54/100
Conviction: Contested · 40% agreement · 5 analysts
+4.0%
-0.3%
15.31:1
Contested

Is KIM Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Kimco Realty (KIM) Watch with a composite score of 54/100 , based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement. Last updated September 17, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Technical Analyst remains cautious — rsi at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 5.1% pays you to wait — Value
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
  • P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst neutral
52 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 23 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 54.5.

Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
22.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.049
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$22.93
Resistance
$23.91
Bollinger %B
-0.02
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$23.43 Below
EMA 21
$23.80 Below
EMA 50
$24.24 Below
EMA 200
$23.52 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
52
Growth
65
Profitability
61
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 25.8×
P/B Ratio 1.50×
PEG Ratio 3.57
Dividend Yield 4.61%
52W High $26.65
52W Low $19.76
Quality & Growth
ROE 562.1%
ROA 296.7%
Gross Margin 5484.6%
Operating Margin 3580.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 3.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.6%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 27.7%; Gross margin of 54.8%; Current ratio of 5.23 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.28); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+9.5% -> -4.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -4.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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