MRSH · NYSE · STOCK
Marsh McLennan (MRSH) Stock Analysis
$170.75
52W $156.60 – $207.83
48/100
$82.42B
21.0
0.58
Is MRSH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Marsh McLennan (MRSH) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.47 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.53 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -1.9% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -1.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 26.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -1.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.5 to 47.5.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
23.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.306
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$170.37
Resistance
$183.43
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$177.32
Below
EMA 21
$181.33
Below
EMA 50
$182.14
Below
EMA 200
$181.28
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
72
Growth
53
Profitability
74
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.0×
P/B Ratio
5.48×
PEG Ratio
-9.81
Dividend Yield
2.08%
52W High
$207.83
52W Low
$156.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
2755.0%
ROA
708.6%
Gross Margin
4238.0%
Operating Margin
2161.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.5x; PEG ratio of -9.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.5%; Return on assets of 7.1%; Net margin of 14.2%; Gross margin of 42.4%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+55.2% -> -10.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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