MRSH · NYSE · STOCK
Marsh McLennan (MRSH) Stock Analysis
$185.73
52W $156.60 – $207.83
57/100
$88.64B
22.6
0.58
Is MRSH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Marsh McLennan (MRSH) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.34 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.66 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -1.9% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -1.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 26.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -1.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.7 to 56.7.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.012
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$174.26
Resistance
$188.50
Bollinger %B
0.14
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$188.82
Below
EMA 21
$188.88
Below
EMA 50
$184.73
Above
EMA 200
$181.73
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
53
Profitability
74
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.6×
P/B Ratio
5.90×
PEG Ratio
-10.55
Dividend Yield
1.99%
52W High
$207.83
52W Low
$156.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
2755.0%
ROA
708.6%
Gross Margin
4238.0%
Operating Margin
2161.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.9x; PEG ratio of -10.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.5%; Return on assets of 7.1%; Net margin of 14.2%; Gross margin of 42.4%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+55.2% -> -10.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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