MT · NYSE · STOCK
ArcelorMittal S.A.
$73.70
52W $31.93 – $75.66
62/100
$56.10B
31.0
1.74
Is MT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates ArcelorMittal S.A. (MT) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.13 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 80.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 3.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -27.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 29.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 80.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -27.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.499
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$72.48
Above
EMA 21
$70.00
Above
EMA 50
$67.12
Above
EMA 200
$57.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Profitability
19
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.0×
P/B Ratio
1.03×
PEG Ratio
-1.16
Dividend Yield
0.97%
52W High
$75.66
52W Low
$31.93
Quality & Growth
ROE
578.7%
ROA
322.6%
Gross Margin
957.6%
Operating Margin
426.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.26
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 31.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.8%; Return on assets of 3.2%; Net margin of 2.9%; Gross margin of 9.6%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.26; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.83); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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