MTRN · NYSE · STOCK
Materion (MTRN) Stock Analysis
$280.14
52W $109.61 – $324.99
57/100
$5.83B
64.6
1.05
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MTRN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Materion Corporation (MTRN) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.01 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 460.6% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 460.6% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 64.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 35.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 64.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 460.6% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 35.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 57.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 66->58 (-8).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.281
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$188.74
Resistance
$298.87
Bollinger %B
0.61
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$286.07
Below
EMA 21
$274.75
Above
EMA 50
$261.50
Above
EMA 200
$213.10
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
44
Growth
78
Profitability
26
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
64.6×
P/B Ratio
5.87×
PEG Ratio
0.14
Dividend Yield
0.20%
52W High
$324.99
52W Low
$109.61
Quality & Growth
ROE
793.2%
ROA
415.0%
Gross Margin
1563.4%
Operating Margin
620.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 64.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.9%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of 4.3%; Gross margin of 15.6%; Current ratio of 2.94 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.51; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.0%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-17.0% -> +49.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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