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NUE · NYSE · STOCK

Nucor (NUE) Stock Analysis

Basic Materials Updated August 23, 2026
$243.61
52W $131.32 – $280.11
47/100
$55.48B
19.4
1.89
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
47/100
Conviction: Moderate · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
+10.3%
-11.9%
0.87:1
Moderate

Is NUE Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Nucor Corporation (NUE) Watch with a composite score of 47/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated August 23, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.53 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.47 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 30 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 30 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score weakened from 53.2 to 47.5.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: stance bullish->bearish; score 62->35 (-27).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 55).

Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
29.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-4.172
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$214.64
Resistance
$268.82
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$256.68 Below
EMA 21
$257.69 Below
EMA 50
$249.30 Below
EMA 200
$209.16 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
89
Growth
67
Profitability
33
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 19.4×
P/B Ratio 2.51×
PEG Ratio 0.15
Dividend Yield 0.92%
52W High $280.11
52W Low $131.32
Quality & Growth
ROE 833.0%
ROA 496.8%
Gross Margin 1547.0%
Operating Margin 1147.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.3%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 8.0%; Gross margin of 15.5%; Current ratio of 2.51 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+86.7% -> +49.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 82.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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