PARR · NYSE · STOCK
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
$75.52
52W $27.42 – $87.03
59/100
$3.78B
4.3
0.79
Is PARR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.55 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 28.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 90 Energy peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.784
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$74.61
Above
EMA 21
$74.16
Above
EMA 50
$68.96
Above
EMA 200
$54.43
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Profitability
62
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
4.3×
P/B Ratio
2.42×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$87.03
52W Low
$27.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
2443.8%
ROA
907.6%
Gross Margin
2266.7%
Operating Margin
1424.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.80
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 4.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 24.4%; Return on assets of 9.1%; Net margin of 9.9%; Gross margin of 22.7%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.80; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.05); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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