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PB · NYSE · STOCK

Prosperity Bancshares (PB) Stock Analysis

Financial Services Updated September 22, 2026
$68.90
52W $61.07 – $77.20
69/100
$8.40B
12.1
0.64
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
69/100
Conviction: Contested · 83% agreement · 6 analysts
+0.4%
-0.3%
1.18:1
Contested

Is PB Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Prosperity Bancshares (PB) Buy with a composite score of 69/100 , based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement. Last updated September 22, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +5.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -14.15 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 32.4% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Technical Analyst remains cautious — rsi at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 3.8% pays you to wait — Value
  • Revenue growing 32.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
  • RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 13%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 32.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.03) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 66.8 to 69.2.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Macro Analyst: score 65->80 (+15); +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Portfolio Manager: score 45->55 (+10); +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
24.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.177
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$69.62
Resistance
$70.14
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.72 Below
EMA 21
$71.53 Below
EMA 50
$72.05 Below
EMA 200
$70.87 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
76
Growth
72
Profitability
62
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 12.1×
P/B Ratio 0.85×
PEG Ratio 2.47
Dividend Yield 3.43%
52W High $77.20
52W Low $61.07
Quality & Growth
ROE 712.8%
ROA 141.1%
Gross Margin 7268.8%
Operating Margin 4049.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of 2.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.1%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 31.6%; Gross margin of 72.7%; Current ratio of 0.65 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.97); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-22.1% -> +44.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 17.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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