SBSW · NYSE · STOCK
Sibanye Stillwater Limited
$10.61
52W $7.10 – $21.29
58/100
$7.51B
-23.6
0.92
Is SBSW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.15 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.85 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 2.36 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -12.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 80 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 39.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 66%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait
− Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 80 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 39.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
79.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.291
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$9.73
Resistance
$13.11
Bollinger %B
0.95
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$9.92
Above
EMA 21
$9.40
Above
EMA 50
$9.68
Above
EMA 200
$11.04
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Profitability
5
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-23.6×
P/B Ratio
3.09×
PEG Ratio
1.41
Dividend Yield
3.04%
52W High
$21.29
52W Low
$7.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1309.5%
ROA
-345.7%
Gross Margin
2745.1%
Operating Margin
2339.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -23.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -13.1%; Return on assets of -3.5%; Net margin of -4.0%; Gross margin of 27.5%; Current ratio of 1.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.11; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.00); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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