SCCO · NYSE · STOCK
Southern Copper (SCCO) Stock Analysis
$209.28
52W $115.74 – $221.24
63/100
$174.55B
30.6
1.12
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SCCO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 32.8% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 49.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.4% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 32.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 50.4% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 16%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 49.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 32.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.5 to 62.6.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 80% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Technical Analyst: score 61->69 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.247
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$165.29
Resistance
$220.29
Bollinger %B
0.90
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$203.21
Above
EMA 21
$201.81
Above
EMA 50
$198.23
Above
EMA 200
$179.75
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
60
Profitability
100
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.6×
P/B Ratio
13.73×
PEG Ratio
0.61
Dividend Yield
1.87%
52W High
$221.24
52W Low
$115.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
3927.2%
ROA
2027.4%
Gross Margin
6226.4%
Operating Margin
5689.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.7x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 39.3%; Return on assets of 20.3%; Net margin of 35.9%; Gross margin of 62.3%; Current ratio of 5.06 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.19); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+21.6% -> +5.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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