SQM · NYSE · STOCK
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM) Stock Analysis
$63.94
52W $41.86 – $98.00
61/100
$18.26B
13.2
1.07
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SQM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.57 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 35.3% YoY — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 35.3% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.6 to 60.6.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
31.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.063
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$41.38
Resistance
$84.33
Bollinger %B
0.18
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.25
Below
EMA 21
$67.45
Below
EMA 50
$70.54
Below
EMA 200
$71.11
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Growth
0
Profitability
62
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.2×
P/B Ratio
2.89×
PEG Ratio
0.07
Dividend Yield
3.71%
52W High
$98.00
52W Low
$41.86
Quality & Growth
ROE
1031.0%
ROA
404.5%
Gross Margin
4204.9%
Operating Margin
3881.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.84
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.3%; Return on assets of 4.0%; Net margin of 20.5%; Gross margin of 42.0%; Current ratio of 2.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.84; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.76); EPS growth decelerating (+14.3% -> -35.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -58.7%
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