VICI · NYSE · STOCK
Vici Properties (VICI) Stock Analysis
$25.35
52W $25.34 – $33.82
53/100
$28.24B
9.9
0.69
Is VICI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Vici Properties (VICI) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.01 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.99 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 10.2 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -1.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 6.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -1.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -1.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.0 to 53.0.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
36.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.057
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$25.83
Below
EMA 21
$26.08
Below
EMA 50
$26.48
Below
EMA 200
$28.07
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
28
Profitability
77
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.9×
P/B Ratio
0.96×
PEG Ratio
-8.65
Dividend Yield
7.02%
52W High
$33.82
52W Low
$25.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
998.5%
ROA
594.0%
Gross Margin
9932.6%
Operating Margin
8877.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -8.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.0%; Return on assets of 5.9%; Net margin of 67.5%; Gross margin of 99.3%; Current ratio of 0.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.42); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 33.8%; EPS growth decelerating (+43.9% -> -41.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -41.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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