WY · NYSE · STOCK
Weyerhaeuser (WY) Stock Analysis
$21.26
52W $20.98 – $27.75
49/100
$15.15B
31.8
0.89
Is WY Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Weyerhaeuser (WY) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.01 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.99 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.4% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 70.2% YoY — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Revenue declining -2.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 13 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 81%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.4% pays you to wait
− P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 70.2% YoY
− Revenue declining -2.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.0 to 49.0.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
11.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.158
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$21.86
Below
EMA 21
$22.63
Below
EMA 50
$23.40
Below
EMA 200
$24.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
64
Profitability
18
Financial Health
90
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.8×
P/B Ratio
1.60×
PEG Ratio
0.43
Dividend Yield
4.00%
52W High
$27.75
52W Low
$20.98
Quality & Growth
ROE
343.7%
ROA
195.0%
Gross Margin
1324.5%
Operating Margin
837.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.4%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 6.8%; Gross margin of 13.2%; Current ratio of 1.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.57; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 47.1%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+222.2% -> +18.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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