NASDAQ · STOCK
Arch Capital Group
$101.11
52W $82.45 – $105.09
52/100
$35.64B
7.4
0.29
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 67% agreement on a neutral lean. Value Analyst: P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 67% agreement on a neutral lean. Value Analyst: P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 74.4 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (88.1) confirms overbought conditions.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.7% downside vs 1.3% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 33.3% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.11) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.025
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$94.17
Resistance
$103.34
Bollinger %B
0.89
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$99.61
Above
EMA 21
$96.69
Above
EMA 50
$95.11
Above
EMA 200
$94.24
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
64
Profitability
87
Financial Health
73
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.4×
P/B Ratio
1.44×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$105.09
52W Low
$82.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
2048.0%
ROA
612.0%
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
2556.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+784.0%
Debt / Equity
0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 7.8%; EPS growth (YoY) of 33.3%; Return on equity of 20.5%; Return on assets of 6.1%; Net margin of 25.6%; Current ratio of 1.36 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+7.6% -> -16.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 74.4 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (88.1) confirms overbought conditions.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.7% downside vs 1.3% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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