ACHR · NYSE · STOCK
Archer Aviation Inc.
$6.78
52W $4.30 – $14.62
54/100
$5.16B
-6.3
3.21
Is ACHR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.96 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.04 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 45.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 83 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 45.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 83 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 45.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
83.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.212
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$6.56
Resistance
$7.08
Bollinger %B
1.22
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.64
Above
EMA 21
$5.29
Above
EMA 50
$5.32
Above
EMA 200
$6.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.3×
P/B Ratio
2.80×
PEG Ratio
-0.48
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$14.62
52W Low
$4.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2806.4%
ROA
-2507.0%
Gross Margin
-2318.8%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -6.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -28.1%; Return on assets of -25.1%; Net margin of -11589.9%; Gross margin of -23.2%; Current ratio of 10.21 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.03; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.84); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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