ACHR · NYSE · STOCK
Archer Aviation (ACHR) Stock Analysis
$4.98
52W $4.30 – $14.62
53/100
$3.77B
-4.6
3.27
Is ACHR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.93 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.04) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only -40.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 81%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -40.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.04) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.4 to 52.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 64->60 (-4).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 41->49 (+8); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.040
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$4.80
Resistance
$7.08
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$4.92
Above
EMA 21
$5.15
Below
EMA 50
$5.37
Below
EMA 200
$6.23
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
39
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-4.6×
P/B Ratio
2.05×
PEG Ratio
-0.35
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$14.62
52W Low
$4.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2806.4%
ROA
-2507.0%
Gross Margin
-2318.8%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -28.1%; Return on assets of -25.1%; Net margin of -11589.9%; Gross margin of -23.2%; Current ratio of 10.21 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.07; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.84); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth decelerating (-7.7% -> -21.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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