VMI · NYSE · STOCK
Valmont Industries (VMI) Stock Analysis
$468.87
52W $378.02 – $585.71
67/100
$9.03B
18.5
1.35
Is VMI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Valmont Industries (VMI) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +7.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -12.26 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.57 across 7 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 29.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 108.3% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 2%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 29.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 108.3% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.57 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 67.8 to 67.3.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 79->76 (-3); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.759
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$455.86
Resistance
$486.30
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$471.64
Below
EMA 21
$472.98
Below
EMA 50
$481.20
Below
EMA 200
$469.62
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
95
Profitability
71
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.5×
P/B Ratio
5.25×
PEG Ratio
0.14
Dividend Yield
0.64%
52W High
$585.71
52W Low
$378.02
Quality & Growth
ROE
2145.2%
ROA
1039.6%
Gross Margin
3037.2%
Operating Margin
1385.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.5%; Return on assets of 10.4%; Net margin of 11.7%; Gross margin of 30.4%; Current ratio of 2.35 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.50; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.63); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-37.7% -> +11.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 25.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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