ACM · NASDAQ · STOCK
AECOM
$75.83
52W $66.28 – $135.52
56/100
$9.75B
18.1
0.93
Is ACM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates AECOM (ACM) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.11 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.89 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -0.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -16.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 21.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 62.6 to 55.9.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 60% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 82->50 (-32); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 55.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.633
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$74.49
Resistance
$78.00
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$74.01
Above
EMA 21
$72.21
Above
EMA 50
$72.38
Above
EMA 200
$86.26
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
87
Profitability
40
Financial Health
38
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.1×
P/B Ratio
4.30×
PEG Ratio
-1.99
Dividend Yield
1.57%
52W High
$135.52
52W Low
$66.28
Quality & Growth
ROE
2253.8%
ROA
460.5%
Gross Margin
772.6%
Operating Margin
637.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 22.5%; Return on assets of 4.6%; Net margin of 3.2%; Gross margin of 7.7%; Current ratio of 1.11 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.19); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.1% -> +23.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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