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ADSK · NASDAQ · STOCK

Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Analysis

Technology Updated August 24, 2026
$254.43
52W $185.50 – $329.09
65/100
$53.59B
36.8
1.30
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
65/100
Conviction: High · 75% agreement · 4 analysts
+0.4%
-0.5%
0.85:1
High
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.

Is ADSK Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Autodesk (ADSK) Buy with a composite score of 65/100 , based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement. Last updated August 24, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.14 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst neutral
54 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened from 56.8 to 65.1.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: score 77->80 (+3).
  • Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).

Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
62.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.330
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$252.68
Resistance
$254.94
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$249.49 Above
EMA 21
$241.95 Above
EMA 50
$232.19 Above
EMA 200
$245.59 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
38
Growth
73
Profitability
97
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 36.8×
P/B Ratio 16.79×
PEG Ratio 0.79
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $329.09
52W Low $185.50
Quality & Growth
ROE 3691.3%
ROA 901.6%
Gross Margin 9114.2%
Operating Margin 2660.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.8x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 36.9%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 19.5%; Gross margin of 91.1%; Current ratio of 0.83 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is positive (12.93); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+6.7% -> +4.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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