ADSK · NASDAQ · STOCK
Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Analysis
$251.36
52W $185.50 – $329.09
63/100
$52.11B
35.8
1.30
Is ADSK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Autodesk (ADSK) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 19, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 28.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 19, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2974.99)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.7 to 62.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 77->80 (+3).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-19 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.078
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$245.25
Resistance
$254.94
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$246.78
Above
EMA 21
$238.56
Above
EMA 50
$229.65
Above
EMA 200
$245.39
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
39
Growth
73
Profitability
97
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
35.8×
P/B Ratio
16.33×
PEG Ratio
0.77
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$329.09
52W Low
$185.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
3691.3%
ROA
901.6%
Gross Margin
9114.2%
Operating Margin
2660.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 35.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.3x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 36.9%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 19.5%; Gross margin of 91.1%; Current ratio of 0.83 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow per share is positive (12.93); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+6.7% -> +4.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full ADSK Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →