ADSK · NASDAQ · STOCK
Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Analysis
$235.36
52W $185.50 – $320.00
57/100
$49.69B
30.3
1.33
Is ADSK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Autodesk (ADSK) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 59.9% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 52.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 59.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 42 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 17.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 52.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 29.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 59.9% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 42 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.6 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.683
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$233.56
Resistance
$254.94
Bollinger %B
0.91
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$225.78
Above
EMA 21
$223.39
Above
EMA 50
$226.13
Above
EMA 200
$240.02
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
83
Profitability
98
Financial Health
37
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.3×
P/B Ratio
14.61×
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$320.00
52W Low
$185.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
3691.3%
ROA
901.6%
Gross Margin
9124.5%
Operating Margin
2754.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.6x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 36.9%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 21.1%; Gross margin of 91.2%; Current ratio of 0.86 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.10; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.49); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.6%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+4.9% -> +10.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 25.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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