PANW · NASDAQ · STOCK
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Stock Analysis
$375.60
52W $139.57 – $398.88
57/100
$305.70B
815.4
0.91
Is PANW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.24 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 1008.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 1008.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 1.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -68.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 1008.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -68.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.2 to 57.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.955
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$180.26
Resistance
$398.52
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$352.81
Above
EMA 21
$352.49
Above
EMA 50
$340.97
Above
EMA 200
$266.58
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
82
Profitability
31
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
815.4×
P/B Ratio
10.22×
PEG Ratio
-11.13
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$398.88
52W Low
$139.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
111.7%
ROA
63.3%
Gross Margin
7035.7%
Operating Margin
605.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 815.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.2x; PEG ratio of -11.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.1%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 2.7%; Gross margin of 70.4%; Current ratio of 0.87 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.86); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-17.5% -> +20.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 7.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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