PANW · NASDAQ · STOCK
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Stock Analysis
$357.90
52W $139.57 – $398.88
56/100
$291.66B
300.7
0.89
Is PANW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.7 to 56.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 50->58 (+8).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 50->35 (-15).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 40).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.546
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$365.60
Below
EMA 21
$359.39
Below
EMA 50
$332.40
Above
EMA 200
$251.99
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
50
Profitability
65
Financial Health
52
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
300.7×
P/B Ratio
9.43×
PEG Ratio
-8.43
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$398.88
52W Low
$139.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
1449.2%
ROA
480.9%
Gross Margin
7194.1%
Operating Margin
964.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 300.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.4x; PEG ratio of -8.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.5%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of 7.9%; Gross margin of 71.9%; Current ratio of 0.86 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.07; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+10.8% -> -17.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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