TEAM · NASDAQ · STOCK
Atlassian (TEAM) Stock Analysis
$171.81
52W $56.01 – $184.00
54/100
$45.13B
-818.1
1.04
Is TEAM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.82 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.18 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 89.8% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 78 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 84 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 89.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 78 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 89.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.7 to 54.2.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 67->58 (-9).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 30).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
77.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.128
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$156.90
Resistance
$176.72
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$161.57
Above
EMA 21
$141.00
Above
EMA 50
$117.58
Above
EMA 200
$115.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
75
Profitability
25
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-818.1×
P/B Ratio
41.04×
PEG Ratio
-9.38
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$184.00
52W Low
$56.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
-508.6%
ROA
-88.2%
Gross Margin
8483.3%
Operating Margin
15.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.16
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -818.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 41.0x; PEG ratio of -9.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -5.1%; Return on assets of -0.9%; Net margin of -0.8%; Gross margin of 84.8%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.16; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 22.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+43.4% -> +6.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 90.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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