ADT · NYSE · STOCK
ADT (ADT) Stock Analysis
$6.42
52W $6.03 – $8.89
56/100
$5.14B
8.4
1.06
Is ADT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ADT Inc. (ADT) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.55 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.04 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.04) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 2.04 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.04) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.5 to 55.5.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.034
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$6.26
Resistance
$7.72
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$6.37
Above
EMA 21
$6.53
Below
EMA 50
$6.80
Below
EMA 200
$7.18
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
69
Profitability
64
Financial Health
7
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.4×
P/B Ratio
1.36×
PEG Ratio
0.99
Dividend Yield
3.42%
52W High
$8.89
52W Low
$6.03
Quality & Growth
ROE
1577.0%
ROA
376.7%
Gross Margin
5139.2%
Operating Margin
2496.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.8%; Return on assets of 3.8%; Net margin of 12.0%; Gross margin of 51.4%; Current ratio of 0.69 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.57); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+0.0% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Get the Full ADT Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →