AGCO · NYSE · STOCK
AGCO Stock Analysis
$103.36
52W $98.22 – $143.78
57/100
$7.23B
14.3
1.07
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is AGCO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates AGCO (AGCO) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.24 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 441.5% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- EPS growing 441.5% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 441.5% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.1 to 57.2.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 60% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->46 (+8); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.717
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$99.36
Resistance
$103.82
Bollinger %B
-0.13
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$111.49
Below
EMA 21
$114.61
Below
EMA 50
$114.99
Below
EMA 200
$114.12
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
64
Profitability
46
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.3×
P/B Ratio
1.80×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
1.14%
52W High
$143.78
52W Low
$98.22
Quality & Growth
ROE
1700.0%
ROA
609.1%
Gross Margin
2501.4%
Operating Margin
655.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.0%; Return on assets of 6.1%; Net margin of 5.2%; Gross margin of 25.0%; Current ratio of 1.32 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.65); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-56.7% -> +52.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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