AGX · NYSE · STOCK
Argan, Inc.
$579.08
52W $197.00 – $805.75
57/100
$8.11B
49.7
0.61
Is AGX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Argan, Inc. (AGX) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.08 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 22.8% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 66%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
5.881
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$404.67
Resistance
$801.85
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$585.14
Below
EMA 21
$596.34
Below
EMA 50
$619.74
Below
EMA 200
$517.29
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Profitability
70
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
49.7×
P/B Ratio
17.05×
PEG Ratio
0.87
Dividend Yield
0.35%
52W High
$805.75
52W Low
$197.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2980.4%
ROA
1161.3%
Gross Margin
2091.7%
Operating Margin
1494.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 49.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 17.1x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 29.8%; Return on assets of 11.6%; Net margin of 15.5%; Gross margin of 20.9%; Current ratio of 1.53 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (34.88); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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