AMPX · NYSE · STOCK
Amprius Technologies (AMPX) Stock Analysis
$9.45
52W $7.71 – $24.23
59/100
$1.34B
-32.5
2.35
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is AMPX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amprius Technologies, Inc. (AMPX) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.32 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.68 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 143.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -33.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 143.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.7 to 58.7.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.025
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$9.23
Resistance
$9.62
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$9.49
Below
EMA 21
$9.62
Below
EMA 50
$10.29
Below
EMA 200
$12.02
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
35
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-32.5×
P/B Ratio
10.78×
PEG Ratio
10.53
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$24.23
52W Low
$7.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
-4240.6%
ROA
-2806.0%
Gross Margin
2225.2%
Operating Margin
-1705.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -32.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.8x; PEG ratio of 10.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -42.4%; Return on assets of -28.1%; Net margin of -35.2%; Gross margin of 22.3%; Current ratio of 7.17 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.05; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.41); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+77.8% -> +50.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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