AMTM · NYSE · STOCK
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
$22.39
52W $19.80 – $38.11
61/100
$5.47B
27.0
0.31
Is AMTM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.47 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.53 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 26.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 23.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 26.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.42 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 3.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 23.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 40.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 26.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 23.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.143
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$21.75
Resistance
$26.57
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$23.35
Below
EMA 21
$22.71
Below
EMA 50
$22.64
Below
EMA 200
$24.76
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Profitability
5
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.0×
P/B Ratio
1.17×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$38.11
52W Low
$19.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
146.5%
ROA
57.6%
Gross Margin
872.6%
Operating Margin
410.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 27.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 1.4%; Gross margin of 8.7%; Current ratio of 1.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.03); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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