AMTM · NYSE · STOCK
Amentum Holdings (AMTM) Stock Analysis
$19.30
52W $17.72 – $38.11
62/100
$4.71B
23.2
0.31
Is AMTM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.96 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.04 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 426.2% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- EPS growing 426.2% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only 4.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 20%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only 4.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 426.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 57.5 to 62.0.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.099
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$19.11
Resistance
$25.05
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$18.81
Above
EMA 21
$19.13
Above
EMA 50
$20.04
Below
EMA 200
$23.04
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
74
Profitability
5
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.2×
P/B Ratio
1.00×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$38.11
52W Low
$17.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
146.5%
ROA
57.6%
Gross Margin
872.6%
Operating Margin
410.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 1.4%; Gross margin of 8.7%; Current ratio of 1.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.99); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+11.1% -> +11.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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