AMTM · NYSE · STOCK
Amentum Holdings (AMTM) Stock Analysis
$20.09
52W $19.80 – $38.11
59/100
$4.90B
24.2
0.31
Is AMTM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.52 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 22.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- EPS growing 426.2% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only 4.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only 4.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 426.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.5 to 58.5.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.083
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$19.92
Resistance
$26.57
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$20.27
Below
EMA 21
$20.83
Below
EMA 50
$21.57
Below
EMA 200
$24.08
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
74
Profitability
5
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.2×
P/B Ratio
1.04×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$38.11
52W Low
$19.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
146.5%
ROA
57.6%
Gross Margin
872.6%
Operating Margin
410.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.5%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 1.4%; Gross margin of 8.7%; Current ratio of 1.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.99); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+11.1% -> +11.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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