APA · NASDAQ · STOCK
APA Corporation
$37.64
52W $19.77 – $45.66
60/100
$13.30B
8.0
0.35
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates APA Corporation (APA) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.68 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.32 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 25.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 55.2% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -17.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 55.2% YoY
− Revenue declining -17.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.82 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.7 to 60.3.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.146
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$36.85
Resistance
$37.79
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.30
Above
EMA 21
$35.75
Above
EMA 50
$35.61
Above
EMA 200
$32.37
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
76
Profitability
79
Financial Health
55
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.0×
P/B Ratio
1.89×
PEG Ratio
0.14
Dividend Yield
2.66%
52W High
$45.66
52W Low
$19.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
2353.5%
ROA
754.8%
Gross Margin
3876.8%
Operating Margin
1184.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.55
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.5%; Return on assets of 7.5%; Net margin of 19.0%; Gross margin of 38.8%; Current ratio of 0.95 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.55; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.01); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+51.6% -> +37.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 117.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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