APG · NYSE · STOCK
APi Group (APG) Stock Analysis
$40.04
52W $33.40 – $49.99
52/100
$17.30B
-59.7
1.61
Is APG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates APi Group (APG) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 36.4% yoy. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 50.5 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 36.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 50.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 79%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 50.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 36.4% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.5 to 52.5.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.307
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$39.78
Resistance
$46.79
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$40.19
Below
EMA 21
$40.82
Below
EMA 50
$41.26
Below
EMA 200
$40.59
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
83
Profitability
30
Financial Health
60
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-59.7×
P/B Ratio
4.92×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$49.99
52W Low
$33.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
886.1%
ROA
338.0%
Gross Margin
2927.2%
Operating Margin
683.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -59.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.9%; Return on assets of 3.4%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 29.3%; Current ratio of 1.39 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.56); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-27.3% -> +37.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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