APP · NASDAQ · STOCK
AppLovin (APP) Stock Analysis
$305.99
52W $298.00 – $745.61
51/100
$102.72B
23.4
2.53
Is APP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AppLovin (APP) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 85 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 53.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 92%
of 287 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 53.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 85 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.4 to 50.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 71->58 (-14).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 50).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
26.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.504
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$201.34
Resistance
$417.30
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$318.59
Below
EMA 21
$351.92
Below
EMA 50
$404.48
Below
EMA 200
$460.39
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Growth
79
Profitability
100
Financial Health
85
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.4×
P/B Ratio
32.54×
PEG Ratio
0.29
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$745.61
52W Low
$298.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
15617.2%
ROA
4592.2%
Gross Margin
8846.4%
Operating Margin
7744.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 32.5x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 156.2%; Return on assets of 45.9%; Net margin of 64.6%; Gross margin of 88.5%; Current ratio of 4.30 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.11; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.37); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+9.9% -> +5.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 57.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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