ARCB · NASDAQ · STOCK
ArcBest (ARCB) Stock Analysis
$132.47
52W $59.43 – $176.69
56/100
$2.91B
186.2
1.70
Is ARCB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ArcBest Corp (ARCB) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 174.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 1.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -89.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.95 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 174.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -89.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.95 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.1 to 56.1.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 67% to 83%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.558
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$82.87
Resistance
$161.01
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$129.73
Above
EMA 21
$130.52
Above
EMA 50
$133.73
Below
EMA 200
$122.63
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
79
Profitability
34
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
186.2×
P/B Ratio
2.30×
PEG Ratio
-2.08
Dividend Yield
0.37%
52W High
$176.69
52W Low
$59.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
463.8%
ROA
245.0%
Gross Margin
5378.4%
Operating Margin
69.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 186.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of -2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.6%; Return on assets of 2.5%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 53.8%; Current ratio of 0.97 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.36; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.61); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-11.1% -> +643.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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