ARCB · NASDAQ · STOCK
ArcBest Corp
$135.69
52W $59.43 – $176.69
55/100
$3.03B
193.9
1.57
Is ARCB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ArcBest Corp (ARCB) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.13 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 24.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 77%
of 223 Industrials peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.626
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$82.87
Resistance
$176.42
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$139.98
Below
EMA 21
$144.02
Below
EMA 50
$142.94
Below
EMA 200
$116.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Profitability
34
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
193.9×
P/B Ratio
2.39×
PEG Ratio
-2.16
Dividend Yield
0.35%
52W High
$176.69
52W Low
$59.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
463.8%
ROA
245.0%
Gross Margin
5378.4%
Operating Margin
69.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 193.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -2.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.6%; Return on assets of 2.5%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 53.8%; Current ratio of 0.97 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.36; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.61); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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