ARMK · NYSE · STOCK
Aramark (ARMK) Stock Analysis
$54.91
52W $35.07 – $62.65
55/100
$14.45B
37.6
1.19
Is ARMK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Aramark (ARMK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.72 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.28 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 38.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.72 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.72) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.99 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 64%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 38.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.72) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.3 to 55.3.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.082
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$38.68
Resistance
$58.68
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$55.22
Below
EMA 21
$55.73
Below
EMA 50
$56.23
Below
EMA 200
$50.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
56
Growth
64
Profitability
22
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.6×
P/B Ratio
4.27×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
0.87%
52W High
$62.65
52W Low
$35.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
1036.8%
ROA
245.3%
Gross Margin
658.4%
Operating Margin
438.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.91
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.4%; Return on assets of 2.5%; Net margin of 1.9%; Gross margin of 6.6%; Current ratio of 1.28 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.91; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.78); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-5.9% -> +8.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 30.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full ARMK Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →