ARW · NYSE · STOCK
Arrow Electronics (ARW) Stock Analysis
$219.78
52W $101.79 – $237.33
71/100
$11.21B
13.9
1.19
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ARW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Arrow Electronics (ARW) Buy with a composite score of 71/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated September 20, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +4.34 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -15.66 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2518.64). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 26.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 76.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
71/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 26.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.46 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 70.7 to 70.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.663
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$197.84
Resistance
$230.42
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$215.25
Above
EMA 21
$213.28
Above
EMA 50
$211.28
Above
EMA 200
$183.13
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
76
Profitability
19
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.9×
P/B Ratio
1.61×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$237.33
52W Low
$101.79
Quality & Growth
ROE
867.6%
ROA
196.5%
Gross Margin
1120.0%
Operating Margin
359.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 2.3%; Gross margin of 11.2%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.53); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 21.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+18.9% -> +4.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 124.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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