ARW · NYSE · STOCK
Arrow Electronics (ARW) Stock Analysis
$220.45
52W $101.79 – $237.33
67/100
$10.94B
13.6
1.20
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ARW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Arrow Electronics (ARW) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.75 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Revenue growing 26.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 76.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 10%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 26.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.8 to 66.8.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.521
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$189.97
Resistance
$237.06
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$211.66
Above
EMA 21
$212.19
Above
EMA 50
$209.78
Above
EMA 200
$175.42
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
76
Profitability
19
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.6×
P/B Ratio
1.57×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$237.33
52W Low
$101.79
Quality & Growth
ROE
867.6%
ROA
196.5%
Gross Margin
1120.0%
Operating Margin
359.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 2.3%; Gross margin of 11.2%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.53); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 21.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+18.9% -> +4.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 124.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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