AVT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Avnet (AVT) Stock Analysis
$90.00
52W $44.25 – $108.63
61/100
$7.64B
22.8
1.08
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is AVT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Avnet (AVT) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.90 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 46.1% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 46.1% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 23%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 46.1% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 68.7 to 60.9.
- Conviction changed from unanimous to contested.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 100% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->48 (-13).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.318
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$80.24
Resistance
$95.24
Bollinger %B
0.01
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$98.33
Below
EMA 21
$98.66
Below
EMA 50
$95.85
Below
EMA 200
$81.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
93
Profitability
15
Financial Health
86
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.8×
P/B Ratio
1.52×
PEG Ratio
0.48
Dividend Yield
1.53%
52W High
$108.63
52W Low
$44.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
665.8%
ROA
216.8%
Gross Margin
1042.9%
Operating Margin
311.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.7%; Return on assets of 2.2%; Net margin of 1.2%; Gross margin of 10.4%; Current ratio of 1.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow per share is negative (-4.31); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 27.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+41.0% -> +54.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 181.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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