ASH · NYSE · STOCK
Ashland Global (ASH) Stock Analysis
$70.86
52W $47.12 – $78.25
50/100
$3.33B
63.7
0.40
Is ASH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ashland Global (ASH) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.17 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.83 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.4% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 64.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 75 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 64.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 75 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 57.0 to 49.8.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 68->58 (-11).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 68->58 (-10); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.403
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$68.48
Resistance
$77.82
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.80
Above
EMA 21
$70.47
Above
EMA 50
$70.19
Above
EMA 200
$64.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
65
Growth
41
Profitability
9
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
63.7×
P/B Ratio
1.79×
PEG Ratio
0.44
Dividend Yield
2.30%
52W High
$78.25
52W Low
$47.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
-4438.0%
ROA
-1832.6%
Gross Margin
2935.4%
Operating Margin
732.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.79
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 63.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -44.4%; Return on assets of -18.3%; Net margin of 2.8%; Gross margin of 29.4%; Current ratio of 3.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.79; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.5%; EPS growth decelerating (+250.0% -> +12.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -1.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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