ASH · NYSE · STOCK
Ashland Global (ASH) Stock Analysis
$70.58
52W $46.30 – $78.25
47/100
$3.16B
60.6
0.39
Is ASH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ashland Global (ASH) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.4% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 62.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 62.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.4 to 47.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.541
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$68.48
Resistance
$77.82
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$70.28
Above
EMA 21
$71.35
Below
EMA 50
$70.41
Above
EMA 200
$63.63
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
41
Profitability
9
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
60.6×
P/B Ratio
1.70×
PEG Ratio
0.42
Dividend Yield
2.42%
52W High
$78.25
52W Low
$46.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
-4438.0%
ROA
-1832.6%
Gross Margin
2935.4%
Operating Margin
732.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.79
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 60.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -44.4%; Return on assets of -18.3%; Net margin of 2.8%; Gross margin of 29.4%; Current ratio of 3.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.79; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.02); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.5%; EPS growth decelerating (+250.0% -> +12.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -1.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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