ASTS · NASDAQ · STOCK
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Stock Analysis
$50.97
52W $47.57 – $133.86
47/100
$20.74B
-23.6
2.71
Is ASTS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.38 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 2256.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -35.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 2256.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 52.0 to 47.4.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 40% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 55->60 (+4).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 46->31 (-15); +3 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.1
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.459
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$49.44
Resistance
$60.91
Bollinger %B
-0.28
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$57.81
Below
EMA 21
$59.47
Below
EMA 50
$62.78
Below
EMA 200
$70.86
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
31
Profitability
0
Financial Health
73
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-23.6×
P/B Ratio
8.05×
PEG Ratio
0.67
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$133.86
52W Low
$47.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1856.9%
ROA
-681.9%
Gross Margin
-1399.5%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -23.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.0x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -18.6%; Return on assets of -6.8%; Net margin of -536.7%; Gross margin of -14.0%; Current ratio of 13.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.58; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.48); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.7%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-153.8% -> +47.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full ASTS Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →