ASTS · NASDAQ · STOCK
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
$71.59
52W $36.08 – $133.86
57/100
$29.15B
-33.2
2.75
Is ASTS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.78 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.22 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 1732.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 1732.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 2.81 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -32.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 38.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 1732.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 38.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.295
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$63.45
Resistance
$102.77
Bollinger %B
0.90
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$67.28
Above
EMA 21
$66.61
Above
EMA 50
$72.36
Below
EMA 200
$75.71
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Profitability
0
Financial Health
73
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-33.2×
P/B Ratio
11.31×
PEG Ratio
0.95
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$133.86
52W Low
$36.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1856.9%
ROA
-681.9%
Gross Margin
-1399.5%
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -33.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.3x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -18.6%; Return on assets of -6.8%; Net margin of -536.7%; Gross margin of -14.0%; Current ratio of 13.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.58; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.48); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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