AXON · NASDAQ · STOCK
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock Analysis
$597.83
52W $339.01 – $794.29
56/100
$48.17B
240.8
1.40
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is AXON Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Axon Enterprise (AXON) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 35 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 250.9 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 34.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 35 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 250.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 13.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -40.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 250.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 34.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -40.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
73
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 35 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.0 to 56.0.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.478
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$544.05
Resistance
$649.56
Bollinger %B
0.55
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$611.11
Below
EMA 21
$590.75
Above
EMA 50
$550.69
Above
EMA 200
$529.38
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
64
Profitability
42
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
240.8×
P/B Ratio
13.07×
PEG Ratio
-5.76
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$794.29
52W Low
$339.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
385.2%
ROA
178.4%
Gross Margin
5940.7%
Operating Margin
260.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 240.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.1x; PEG ratio of -5.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.9%; Return on assets of 1.8%; Net margin of 6.2%; Gross margin of 59.4%; Current ratio of 2.15 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.50; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.66); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.3%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-25.1% -> +16.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -11.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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