BAH · NYSE · STOCK
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) Stock Analysis
$73.98
52W $59.50 – $109.10
50/100
$8.89B
11.6
0.37
Is BAH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.59 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 71.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.57 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -7.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -32.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 11.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -7.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.9 to 49.6.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 33% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.009
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$69.83
Resistance
$83.87
Bollinger %B
0.53
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.19
Above
EMA 21
$72.28
Above
EMA 50
$72.98
Above
EMA 200
$78.76
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
84
Profitability
74
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.6×
P/B Ratio
7.43×
PEG Ratio
-0.53
Dividend Yield
3.14%
52W High
$109.10
52W Low
$59.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
7701.4%
ROA
1148.9%
Gross Margin
4467.7%
Operating Margin
951.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.4x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 77.0%; Return on assets of 11.5%; Net margin of 7.0%; Gross margin of 44.7%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.46; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 20.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+0.6% -> +1.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full BAH Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →