BILI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Bilibili (BILI) Stock Analysis
$14.36
52W $14.31 – $36.40
62/100
$6.28B
26.7
0.65
Is BILI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Bilibili Inc. (BILI) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.08 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is p/e of 27.9 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 567.6% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 21%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 27.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 567.6% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.6 to 62.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.057
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
-0.03
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.87
Below
EMA 21
$15.07
Below
EMA 50
$15.85
Below
EMA 200
$19.57
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
84
Profitability
34
Financial Health
69
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.7×
P/B Ratio
2.55×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$36.40
52W Low
$14.31
Quality & Growth
ROE
765.9%
ROA
289.7%
Gross Margin
3725.3%
Operating Margin
444.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.60
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.7 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.7%; Return on assets of 2.9%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 37.3%; Current ratio of 1.32 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.60; Free cash flow per share is negative (0.00); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-32.5% -> +20.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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