BILI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Bilibili (BILI) Stock Analysis
$15.50
52W $14.31 – $36.40
59/100
$6.50B
28.1
0.65
Is BILI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Bilibili Inc. (BILI) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.59 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.41 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 567.6% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 567.6% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 26.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 567.6% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.2 to 59.4.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 40% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->68 (+11); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.121
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$14.47
Resistance
$19.47
Bollinger %B
0.89
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.99
Above
EMA 21
$15.16
Above
EMA 50
$15.98
Below
EMA 200
$19.72
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
84
Profitability
34
Financial Health
69
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.1×
P/B Ratio
2.69×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$36.40
52W Low
$14.31
Quality & Growth
ROE
765.9%
ROA
289.7%
Gross Margin
3725.3%
Operating Margin
444.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.60
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.1 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.7%; Return on assets of 2.9%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 37.3%; Current ratio of 1.32 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.60; Free cash flow per share is negative (0.00); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-32.5% -> +20.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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