BP · NYSE · STOCK
BP (BP) Stock Analysis
$43.82
52W $32.72 – $48.27
67/100
$114.89B
21.2
-0.21
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is BP Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates BP p.l.c. (BP) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.05 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.95 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2704.43). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.8% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 907.6% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 19%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 907.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.5 to 67.0.
- Conviction changed from high to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 80% to 100%.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.008
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$36.05
Resistance
$48.26
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$43.50
Above
EMA 21
$43.22
Above
EMA 50
$42.71
Above
EMA 200
$40.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
59
Profitability
5
Financial Health
51
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.2×
P/B Ratio
1.93×
PEG Ratio
-0.02
Dividend Yield
4.65%
52W High
$48.27
52W Low
$32.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.4%
ROA
2.0%
Gross Margin
2193.4%
Operating Margin
1372.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 2.5%; Gross margin of 21.9%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.24; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+100.0% -> +84.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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