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BP p.l.c.

Energy Updated August 11, 2026
$43.16
52W $32.72 – $48.27
65/100
$113.19B
21.0
-0.21
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
65/100
Conviction: Moderate · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
Moderate

Is BP Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates BP p.l.c. (BP) Buy with a composite score of 65/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.90 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

Positive signals support the current rating — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Dividend yield of 4.7% pays you to wait — Value
  • EPS growing 907.6% YoY — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.7% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst bullish
75 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 907.6% YoY
Technical Analyst neutral
57 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
54.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.103
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$36.05
Resistance
$48.26
Bollinger %B
0.59
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$42.70 Above
EMA 21
$42.32 Above
EMA 50
$42.00 Above
EMA 200
$40.17 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
90
Profitability
5
Financial Health
51
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 21.0×
P/B Ratio 1.91×
PEG Ratio -0.02
Dividend Yield 4.65%
52W High $48.27
52W Low $32.72
Quality & Growth
ROE 10.4%
ROA 2.0%
Gross Margin 2193.4%
Operating Margin 1372.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 1.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 21.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 2.5%; Gross margin of 21.9%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.24; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.22); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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