BP · NYSE · STOCK
BP (BP) Stock Analysis
$46.25
52W $32.72 – $48.27
63/100
$121.29B
22.5
-0.21
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is BP Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates BP p.l.c. (BP) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.52 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is price structure making higher highs and higher lows. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.8% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 907.6% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 23%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.8% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 907.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.8 to 62.5.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 80% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 66->60 (-6).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.141
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$36.05
Resistance
$48.26
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.17
Above
EMA 21
$44.75
Above
EMA 50
$44.06
Above
EMA 200
$41.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
59
Profitability
5
Financial Health
51
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.5×
P/B Ratio
2.05×
PEG Ratio
-0.02
Dividend Yield
4.28%
52W High
$48.27
52W Low
$32.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.4%
ROA
2.0%
Gross Margin
2193.4%
Operating Margin
1372.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 2.5%; Gross margin of 21.9%; Current ratio of 1.27 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.24; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.22); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+100.0% -> +84.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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