BWMN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Bowman Consulting Group (BWMN) Stock Analysis
$42.70
52W $25.07 – $45.83
54/100
$747.58M
101.7
1.48
Is BWMN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 100.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -31.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 79%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 100.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -31.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Current ratio of 0.99 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.3 to 53.5.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 54->61 (+8).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.199
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$32.09
Resistance
$45.12
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$42.70
Above
EMA 21
$42.40
Above
EMA 50
$40.13
Above
EMA 200
$35.15
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
45
Profitability
29
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
101.7×
P/B Ratio
2.74×
PEG Ratio
-3.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$45.83
52W Low
$25.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
468.3%
ROA
210.9%
Gross Margin
4653.9%
Operating Margin
391.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 101.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of -3.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.7%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 1.3%; Gross margin of 46.5%; Current ratio of 0.90 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.11; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.73); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 58.0%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-300.0% -> +163.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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