CARR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Carrier Global
$63.99
52W $50.24 – $76.76
46/100
$52.77B
44.0
1.31
Is CARR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Carrier Global (CARR) Watch with a composite score of 46/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -6.00 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.6% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 43.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -68.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
46/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 43.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 46.0 to 46.0.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.118
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$61.32
Resistance
$66.49
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.43
Below
EMA 21
$65.81
Below
EMA 50
$66.63
Below
EMA 200
$64.00
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
52
Profitability
33
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
44.0×
P/B Ratio
4.05×
PEG Ratio
-0.65
Dividend Yield
1.48%
52W High
$76.76
52W Low
$50.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
1075.0%
ROA
399.0%
Gross Margin
2434.4%
Operating Margin
705.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 44.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.8%; Return on assets of 4.0%; Net margin of 5.5%; Gross margin of 24.3%; Current ratio of 1.02 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.94; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+67.6% -> +50.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -6.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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