CARR · NYSE · STOCK
Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Analysis
$60.37
52W $50.24 – $76.76
52/100
$49.76B
41.5
1.31
Is CARR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Carrier Global (CARR) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.75 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 46.6 to 51.8.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 40% to 50%.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 23->35 (+12).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 38).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
26.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.188
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$60.19
Resistance
$60.87
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$61.78
Below
EMA 21
$63.39
Below
EMA 50
$65.12
Below
EMA 200
$63.82
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Growth
52
Profitability
33
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.5×
P/B Ratio
3.82×
PEG Ratio
-0.61
Dividend Yield
1.57%
52W High
$76.76
52W Low
$50.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
1075.0%
ROA
399.0%
Gross Margin
2434.4%
Operating Margin
705.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.8%; Return on assets of 4.0%; Net margin of 5.5%; Gross margin of 24.3%; Current ratio of 1.02 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.94; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+67.6% -> +50.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -6.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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