CARR · NYSE · STOCK
Carrier Global (CARR) Stock Analysis
$55.55
52W $50.24 – $76.76
50/100
$45.80B
38.2
1.29
Is CARR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Carrier Global (CARR) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.30 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.6% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 15 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -68.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 37.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.3 to 50.3.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.308
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$55.48
Resistance
$57.96
Bollinger %B
0.58
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$55.52
Above
EMA 21
$56.02
Below
EMA 50
$58.43
Below
EMA 200
$61.70
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
52
Profitability
33
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.2×
P/B Ratio
3.51×
PEG Ratio
-0.56
Dividend Yield
1.70%
52W High
$76.76
52W Low
$50.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
1075.0%
ROA
399.0%
Gross Margin
2434.4%
Operating Margin
705.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.8%; Return on assets of 4.0%; Net margin of 5.5%; Gross margin of 24.3%; Current ratio of 1.02 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.94; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+67.6% -> +50.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -6.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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