CLF · NASDAQ · STOCK
Cleveland-Cliffs
$12.26
52W $7.73 – $16.70
54/100
$6.99B
-7.3
2.13
Is CLF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.10 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 46.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 2.11 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -15.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 46.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 70%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -15.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 46.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 54.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.216
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$11.74
Resistance
$15.05
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.87
Above
EMA 21
$11.31
Above
EMA 50
$11.08
Above
EMA 200
$11.03
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
59
Profitability
0
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-7.3×
P/B Ratio
1.25×
PEG Ratio
-0.10
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$16.70
52W Low
$7.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2416.6%
ROA
-738.6%
Gross Margin
-64.6%
Operating Margin
-360.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -24.2%; Return on assets of -7.4%; Net margin of -4.6%; Gross margin of -0.6%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.37; Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.50); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 22.2%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+4.5% -> +40.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 74.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full CLF Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →