CNH · NYSE · STOCK
CNH Industrial (CNH) Stock Analysis
$14.39
52W $9.00 – $13.89
66/100
$17.16B
55.6
1.18
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CNH Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates CNH Industrial (CNH) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.20 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is rsi at 86 is in overbought territory. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 15 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- RSI at 86 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 75 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 37.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 86 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 37.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
73
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened significantly from 56.0 to 66.2.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 67% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 56->82 (+26).
- Risk Analyst: score 42->52 (+10).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 41).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
85.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.289
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$13.26
Resistance
$13.87
Bollinger %B
1.08
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.41
Above
EMA 21
$11.68
Above
EMA 50
$11.16
Above
EMA 200
$10.95
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
75
Profitability
20
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
55.6×
P/B Ratio
2.21×
PEG Ratio
-0.90
Dividend Yield
0.72%
52W High
$13.89
52W Low
$9.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
659.8%
ROA
119.3%
Gross Margin
3060.8%
Operating Margin
1365.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 55.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.6%; Return on assets of 1.2%; Net margin of 1.7%; Gross margin of 30.6%; Current ratio of 7.16 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.39; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.3%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-94.7% -> +1200.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -23.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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