CNI · NYSE · STOCK
Canadian National Railway (CNI) Stock Analysis
$117.80
52W $90.74 – $131.55
58/100
$71.25B
21.6
0.97
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CNI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.70 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 22.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 22.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.3 to 57.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.076
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$112.53
Resistance
$122.44
Bollinger %B
0.28
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$118.15
Below
EMA 21
$119.53
Below
EMA 50
$121.25
Below
EMA 200
$115.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Growth
79
Profitability
84
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.6×
P/B Ratio
4.65×
PEG Ratio
2.96
Dividend Yield
2.16%
52W High
$131.55
52W Low
$90.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
2188.4%
ROA
806.1%
Gross Margin
4219.9%
Operating Margin
3754.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.7x; PEG ratio of 3.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.9%; Return on assets of 8.1%; Net margin of 26.9%; Gross margin of 42.2%; Current ratio of 0.87 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.85); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-10.1% -> +11.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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