CNI · NYSE · STOCK
Canadian National Railway Company
$126.24
52W $90.74 – $131.55
57/100
$76.39B
22.6
0.96
Is CNI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.69 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.31 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 22.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 223 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 22.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.643
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$126.64
Below
EMA 21
$126.25
Below
EMA 50
$122.96
Above
EMA 200
$111.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
39
Profitability
84
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.6×
P/B Ratio
4.87×
PEG Ratio
3.09
Dividend Yield
2.05%
52W High
$131.55
52W Low
$90.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
2188.4%
ROA
806.1%
Gross Margin
4219.9%
Operating Margin
3754.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 22.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of 3.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.9%; Return on assets of 8.1%; Net margin of 26.9%; Gross margin of 42.2%; Current ratio of 0.87 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.85); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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