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Cinemark Holdings, Inc.

Communication Services Updated August 11, 2026
$36.67
52W $21.60 – $38.98
55/100
$4.25B
19.7
0.99
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 33% agreement · 6 analysts
Contested

Is CNK Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.35 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.65 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 52.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 4.90 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
  • Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 34.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 52.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bearish
40 / 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst neutral
59 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst bearish
33 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 33 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
58.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.202
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.78 Below
EMA 21
$35.10 Above
EMA 50
$32.93 Above
EMA 200
$29.51 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
91
Profitability
57
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 19.7×
P/B Ratio 2.05×
PEG Ratio -0.79
Dividend Yield 0.95%
52W High $38.98
52W Low $21.60
Quality & Growth
ROE 3410.7%
ROA 311.7%
Gross Margin 4572.3%
Operating Margin 1324.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 19.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.1%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 6.4%; Gross margin of 45.7%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.72); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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