CNK · NYSE · STOCK
Cinemark Holdings (CNK) Stock Analysis
$36.40
52W $21.60 – $39.07
59/100
$4.22B
19.6
1.03
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CNK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.96 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.04 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 18 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 52.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.90 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 52.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.0 to 59.0.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.041
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$28.52
Resistance
$38.98
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.40
Below
EMA 21
$36.26
Above
EMA 50
$35.59
Above
EMA 200
$31.81
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
89
Profitability
47
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.6×
P/B Ratio
2.03×
PEG Ratio
-0.78
Dividend Yield
0.99%
52W High
$39.07
52W Low
$21.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
3410.7%
ROA
311.7%
Gross Margin
2998.0%
Operating Margin
1324.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of -0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.1%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 6.4%; Gross margin of 30.0%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 15.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-137.5% -> +2083.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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