COP · NYSE · STOCK
ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Analysis
$134.92
52W $85.57 – $135.88
54/100
$164.31B
17.8
0.12
Is COP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ConocoPhillips (COP) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.93 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.07 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is bollinger bandwidth of 21.2% signals elevated volatility. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 50 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 82 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 82 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 50 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.1 to 54.1.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
82.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.193
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$112.23
Resistance
$135.18
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$129.33
Above
EMA 21
$124.30
Above
EMA 50
$119.67
Above
EMA 200
$112.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
68
Profitability
70
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.8×
P/B Ratio
2.50×
PEG Ratio
13.31
Dividend Yield
2.49%
52W High
$135.88
52W Low
$85.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
1238.7%
ROA
655.1%
Gross Margin
5077.8%
Operating Margin
2267.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 13.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.4%; Return on assets of 6.6%; Net margin of 14.9%; Gross margin of 50.8%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.36; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.15); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.3%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+85.3% -> +71.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 128.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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