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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated October 10, 2026
$84.47
52W $68.42 – $96.90
49/100
$74.25B
25.6
1.22
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
49/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+5.8%
-9.7%
0.61:1
Moderate

Is CP Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. (CP) Watch with a composite score of 49/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.46 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
  • P/E of 27.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • EPS declining -4.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Current ratio of 0.49 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 27.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst neutral
41 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -4.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.49 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
60 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 49.5 to 49.5.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
35.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.106
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$76.32
Resistance
$89.41
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$85.18 Below
EMA 21
$86.68 Below
EMA 50
$88.43 Below
EMA 200
$85.62 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
48
Growth
39
Profitability
66
Financial Health
49
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 25.6×
P/B Ratio 2.29×
PEG Ratio 5.77
Dividend Yield 0.82%
52W High $96.90
52W Low $68.42
Quality & Growth
ROE 902.6%
ROA 481.8%
Gross Margin 4770.9%
Operating Margin 3685.5%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.54
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.6 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 5.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.0%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of 25.0%; Gross margin of 47.7%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.54; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.89); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.4%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-21.8% -> +22.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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