CP · NYSE · STOCK
Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) Stock Analysis
$86.47
52W $68.42 – $96.90
51/100
$75.36B
25.9
1.22
Is CP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. (CP) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2802.55). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -4.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.49 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 27.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -4.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.49 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2802.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.6 to 51.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.198
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$84.49
Resistance
$89.41
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$85.50
Above
EMA 21
$86.46
Above
EMA 50
$88.13
Below
EMA 200
$85.63
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
39
Profitability
66
Financial Health
49
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.9×
P/B Ratio
2.32×
PEG Ratio
5.84
Dividend Yield
0.81%
52W High
$96.90
52W Low
$68.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
902.6%
ROA
481.8%
Gross Margin
4770.9%
Operating Margin
3685.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.54
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.9 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 5.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.0%; Return on assets of 4.8%; Net margin of 25.0%; Gross margin of 47.7%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.54; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.89); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.4%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-21.8% -> +22.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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