CRC · NYSE · STOCK
California Resources Corp
$54.14
52W $43.24 – $71.98
51/100
$4.81B
-40.7
0.90
Is CRC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates California Resources Corp (CRC) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.55 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -21.3% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -13.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -21.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -13.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -21.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.408
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$43.30
Resistance
$58.24
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$52.74
Above
EMA 21
$52.67
Above
EMA 50
$54.37
Below
EMA 200
$55.13
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
41
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-40.7×
P/B Ratio
1.41×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
2.96%
52W High
$71.98
52W Low
$43.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
988.0%
ROA
490.3%
Gross Margin
4642.4%
Operating Margin
2653.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.38
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -40.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.9%; Return on assets of 4.9%; Net margin of -3.0%; Gross margin of 46.4%; Current ratio of 0.66 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.38; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.13); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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