CRC · NYSE · STOCK
California Resources (CRC) Stock Analysis
$52.94
52W $43.24 – $71.98
48/100
$4.70B
-39.8
0.90
Is CRC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates California Resources Corp (CRC) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.08 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.92 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -22.4% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -3.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -22.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 97%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -3.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -22.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.9 to 47.9.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.056
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$49.28
Resistance
$53.07
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$52.57
Above
EMA 21
$52.85
Above
EMA 50
$53.40
Below
EMA 200
$54.52
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
32
Profitability
41
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-39.8×
P/B Ratio
1.38×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
3.06%
52W High
$71.98
52W Low
$43.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
988.0%
ROA
490.3%
Gross Margin
4642.4%
Operating Margin
2653.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -39.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.9%; Return on assets of 4.9%; Net margin of -3.0%; Gross margin of 46.4%; Current ratio of 0.66 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.45); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 31.5%; EPS growth decelerating (+87.2% -> +12.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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