CRGY · NYSE · STOCK
Crescent Energy (CRGY) Stock Analysis
$12.65
52W $7.68 – $15.47
56/100
$4.18B
86.5
0.92
Is CRGY Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.75 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 32 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 76.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 1.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 67%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 76.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.4 to 55.8.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.095
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$11.38
Resistance
$14.02
Bollinger %B
0.18
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$13.19
Below
EMA 21
$13.35
Below
EMA 50
$13.06
Below
EMA 200
$11.84
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
92
Profitability
32
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
86.5×
P/B Ratio
0.81×
PEG Ratio
-0.04
Dividend Yield
3.79%
52W High
$15.47
52W Low
$7.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
257.7%
ROA
106.8%
Gross Margin
7525.9%
Operating Margin
2296.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 86.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.6%; Return on assets of 1.1%; Net margin of 1.3%; Gross margin of 75.3%; Current ratio of 0.94 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.02; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.8%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+8.2% -> +30.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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