CRGY · NYSE · STOCK
Crescent Energy Company
$12.41
52W $7.68 – $14.29
61/100
$4.10B
84.9
0.89
Is CRGY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 73.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 1.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 90 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 73.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 76 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.153
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$11.38
Resistance
$14.02
Bollinger %B
1.05
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.61
Above
EMA 21
$11.19
Above
EMA 50
$11.11
Above
EMA 200
$10.96
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Profitability
32
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
84.9×
P/B Ratio
0.80×
PEG Ratio
-0.04
Dividend Yield
3.86%
52W High
$14.29
52W Low
$7.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
257.7%
ROA
106.8%
Gross Margin
7525.9%
Operating Margin
2296.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 84.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.6%; Return on assets of 1.1%; Net margin of 1.3%; Gross margin of 75.3%; Current ratio of 0.94 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.72); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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