CRS · NYSE · STOCK
Carpenter Technology (CRS) Stock Analysis
$398.28
52W $228.00 – $625.99
58/100
$20.02B
38.0
1.26
Is CRS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Carpenter Technology (CRS) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 41.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 26 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 13.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 15 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 25.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 37.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 41.9% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 15 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
73
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.47 across 26 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 58.4.
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
13.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-3.294
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$390.01
Resistance
$625.94
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$422.76
Below
EMA 21
$451.82
Below
EMA 50
$487.22
Below
EMA 200
$442.63
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
36
Growth
79
Profitability
78
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.0×
P/B Ratio
9.04×
PEG Ratio
0.92
Dividend Yield
0.20%
52W High
$625.99
52W Low
$228.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2378.3%
ROA
1380.3%
Gross Margin
3058.4%
Operating Margin
2247.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.0x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.8%; Return on assets of 13.8%; Net margin of 17.0%; Gross margin of 30.6%; Current ratio of 3.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.7%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+18.9% -> +16.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 46.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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