CRS · NYSE · STOCK
Carpenter Technology (CRS) Stock Analysis
$542.53
52W $228.00 – $625.99
56/100
$27.06B
51.4
1.25
Is CRS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Carpenter Technology (CRS) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.10 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 19.6% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 76%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.3 to 56.1.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 49).
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.643
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$390.01
Resistance
$625.94
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$546.37
Below
EMA 21
$554.07
Below
EMA 50
$544.13
Below
EMA 200
$437.22
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
29
Growth
79
Profitability
78
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
51.4×
P/B Ratio
12.22×
PEG Ratio
1.25
Dividend Yield
0.15%
52W High
$625.99
52W Low
$228.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2378.3%
ROA
1380.3%
Gross Margin
3058.4%
Operating Margin
2247.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.2x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 23.8%; Return on assets of 13.8%; Net margin of 17.0%; Gross margin of 30.6%; Current ratio of 3.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.7%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+18.9% -> +16.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 46.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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